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Fresh UK–Portugal Tax Pact Promises Relief for Expats and Investors

Economy,  Politics
By The Portugal Post, The Portugal Post
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British pensions, Portuguese dividends and cross-border salaries will soon flow under a fresher set of tax rules. Lisbon and London have just shaken hands on a new bilateral convention designed to stamp out double taxation, replace a treaty from the late 1960s and inject confidence into post-Brexit investment. Although the full legal text remains under wraps, officials insist the accord goes far beyond housekeeping: it redraws the map for families who split their lives between the Algarve and the Cotswolds, and for companies wiring profits in either direction.

A treaty rebuilt outside the EU umbrella

Leaving the European Union stripped the United Kingdom of the automatic tax coordination it once enjoyed with continental partners. That vacuum left British retirees in Portugal and Portuguese software engineers in Manchester juggling two tax codes that no longer lined up neatly. Foreign Minister Paulo Rangel told reporters in London that the new signature “was handled with great urgency,” a phrase underscoring how many expats have been living in limbo since 2020. For Portugal the move also keeps faith with the 650-year-old Aliança Luso-Britânica, still touted as the world’s oldest active alliance.

Why it matters on the ground

If you are a Briton holding a golden-visa apartment in Cascais, or a Portuguese nurse sending money home from Leeds, the headline promise is legal certainty. The convention establishes which country has the primary right to tax salary, rental income, capital gains and inheritance, ensuring that you never pay income tax on the same euro—or pound—twice. Multinationals also care: an unambiguous set of rules regarding a “permanent establishment” offers boardrooms clarity on where corporate profits will be assessed.

Pensions: from comfort blanket to taxable estate

Across the Channel, accountants are already poring over clauses concerning private and occupational pensions. Westminster’s decision to expose unused UK pension pots to a 40% Inheritance Tax from April 2027 means many long-term residents in Portugal could see their retirement savings pulled back into the British tax net. The new accord is expected to confirm that government-service pensions remain taxed exclusively in the UK, while private schemes will normally follow the place of residence. How those principles mesh with Portugal’s evolving Non-Habitual Resident (NHR) regime—soon to be rebadged as “NHR 2.0”—will shape whether a pensioner still benefits from Portugal’s 10% flat rate, or faces a steeper bill.

Company cash flows still waiting for hard numbers

Businesses are champing at the bit for the fine print on withholding rates. Under the outgoing convention, dividends could be cut to 10 % when the recipient held at least 25 % of the paying company. Rangel declined to reveal whether the 2025 pact trims those percentages further, but hinted that “investment promotion” sat high on the agenda. The same suspense applies to interest and royalty payments: Portugal’s default 25 % levy on non-resident recipients usually plunges once a treaty kicks in. Lower rates would soften costs for UK venture-capital funds bankrolling Portuguese tech, and for Lisbon-based video-game studios paying British designers.

The NHR shake-up collides with new rules

Portugal’s flagship Non-Habitual Resident programme—the magnet that lured thousands of digital nomads and pensioners—faces a legislative makeover this autumn. Lawmakers in Lisbon are drafting what some call an Incentivo Fiscal para o Conhecimento e Inovação (IFICI), a stricter successor likely to cap benefits and tighten eligibility. Because the fresh treaty dictates whether foreign-sourced income is even taxable in Portugal, its interaction with NHR 2.0 will decide if the country can remain a top-tier relocation hub for Britons seeking sunshine with tax efficiency.

Ratification hurdles on both sides of the Channel

Signing ceremonies make headlines, yet parliamentary approval turns ink into law. In Portugal, the Assembly of the Republic must vote the convention through, after which the President signs the ratification instrument. Westminster traditionally applies the Ponsonby Rule, granting MPs a window to object. While neither capital has hinted at opposition, expats should monitor timelines: only after both sides exchange ratification documents will the treaty become effective, most likely for the 2026 tax year.

What you can do today

Until the pages are published, advisers urge caution. Map out where your income streams arise, gather proof of tax residency, and review any pension consolidation planned for 2026 or later. Entrepreneurs eyeing a Portuguese branch should model cash flows under multiple withholding scenarios. Above all, keep ears to the ground—once the final articles surface, they could swiftly alter the arithmetic of living, working or investing across the oldest alliance in the Western world.